Research · Solo Economy · Sep 2026
The Solo Founder Economy 2026 — Real Data, Real Numbers
AI-augmented solo founders earn 3x more than non-AI solos ($240K vs $48K median ARR). But 52% fail. Revenue benchmarks, case studies with footnotes, and the honest economics of building alone.
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Agriculture · Daily · 26 Aug 2026
Agriculture: Wheat leads the session
Wheat +6.4% on the day and +47.7% over twelve months, against cocoa at −26.7% — a 74-point dispersion. Kansas winter wheat flagged severe on a −70mm water balance.
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Precious Metals · Daily · 26 Aug 2026
Precious Metals: Gold leads the session
Gold at record territory with silver up 76% over twelve months. Realised volatility, two-year range position and the regional supply picture behind the move.
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Energy · Daily · 26 Aug 2026
Energy: Thermal coal leads the session
Coal, crude and gas read against Middle East swing supply, the Hormuz risk premium and Qatari LNG capacity additions.
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Critical Metals · Daily · 26 Aug 2026
Critical & Base Metals: cobalt leads the session
Copper's structural deficit, the DRC cobalt export quota and Chinese refining concentration — where the energy transition actually binds.
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Strategy · Featured · Aug 2026
AI and the future of commodities trading
The industry is at an inflection point deeper than the shift to electronic trading. The mechanism of AI-driven change, a five-pillar strategic framework, a three-year roadmap — and why data integration velocity, not data ownership, is the new moat.
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Research · Comprehensive · Sep 2026
Kenya Commodities Market — A Comprehensive Guide
A comprehensive guide covering Kenya's commodity trading history (barter to KOMEX), 2025 data on tea (KSh 218.8B), coffee (record KSh 38.74B), petroleum demand (5.712M tonnes), and strategic outlook.
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Daily Brief · Aug 26, 2026
Today's commodity brief — gold range, Hormuz oil, copper deficit, El Niño ag, silver paradox
One paragraph per market from the desk's morning read: gold's $4,412 consolidation, the Strait of Hormuz supply shock lifting Brent to $85 in 3Q26, copper's structural deficit, Super El Niño ag risk, and silver's paradox of using less yet still falling short.
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Metals · Aug 2026
Metals vs Gold: how each metal trades — and what drives it
A relative-value map of the metals complex: gold, silver, platinum, palladium and copper — what moves each, how they price against gold, and where the asymmetry sits.
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Metals · Aug 2026
Gold's range: why mean-reversion still works at $2,600
With spot gold consolidating, our metals desk explains why short-term dislocations keep offering disciplined reversion entries — and where the stop structure sits.
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Energy · Jul 2026
Natural gas: the swing fuel for a hotter summer
Storage draws and LNG export queues are tightening the TTF–Henry Hub spread. We map the structural drivers and the hedging structures we favor.
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Agriculture · Jul 2026
Coffee & cocoa: tropical supply risk into 2027
Weather and certification constraints are reshaping softs flows. A look at responsible-sourcing premiums and what they mean for forward pricing.
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Macro · Jun 2026
Commodity-linked FX in a higher-for-longer world
How producer currencies are trading the commodity cycle, and where relative-value structures offer cleaner exposure than direction.
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Risk · Jun 2026
Why we halt on drawdown — by design
A short note on the firm's risk framework: the max-drawdown halt, news filter, and per-account sizing that protect capital in every regime.
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Battery · May 2026
Lithium's reset: where the cost curve bites
Battery-grade carbonate has found a floor near cash costs. We outline the offtake and royalty structures our desk is watching into 2027.
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